Speaker
Description
BES-SIM 2 is a global, multidisciplinary model intercomparison exercise developing future projections of biodiversity and ecosystem service change. Building on its first iteration, BES-SIM 2 draws on the Nature Futures Framework (NFF)— a set of plausible, positive futures for people and nature — to explore the combined effects of human and climate pressures across terrestrial, freshwater and marine ecosystems. It brings together 15 terrestrial and 10 marine modelling teams working at regional and global scales.
The exercise addresses the following research frontiers: (i) advancing model intercomparison as a means to assess future trends in biodiversity and ecosystem services and to test and quantify uncertainties across models; (ii) incorporating multi-scale modelling to link global trends with regional and local dynamics; (iii) integrating social-ecological feedbacks to capture the dynamic interactions between biodiversity, ecosystem services and human systems; and (iv) bringing terrestrial and marine domains together within a comparable modelling framework. Outputs are delivered as Essential Biodiversity Variables (EBVs) in standardised, FAIR-compliant EBV data cubes, enabling transparent cross-model synthesis and reuse.
In this talk, we introduce the BES-SIM 2 framework and present preliminary results from the ongoing modelling effort. Through these advances, BES-SIM 2 will contribute to the upcoming IPBES Second Global Assessment and support international biodiversity strategies, most notably the Kunming-Montréal Global Biodiversity Framework (KM-GBF) and the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), providing a scientific basis for conservation and sustainability decision-making.
| Status Group | Postdoctoral Researcher |
|---|---|
| FOR TALKS: Poster Presentation Option | Yes, I’m willing to present as a poster. |